How is the 2022 Recession different from the others?

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How is the 2022 Recession different from the others?

Postprzez jira13578 » 7 wrz 2022, o 07:00

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Economists and analysts believe that It is more likely that the US economy will "recession" (recession) after May inflation continued to rise to 8.6% higher than April. that means Inflation has not yet reached its peak. And the chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has released theทดลองเล่นสล็อตxoฟรีlatest stance that will focus mainly on inflation control. and signal an interest rate hike of 0.5 to 0.75% at the end of July meeting.

However, most analysts seem to believe that The recession will be superficial, less severe, for example, Destination Wealth Management CEO Michael Yoshikami said in the base case that he believes the economy. The US will enter a shallow recession around the third quarter of this year, then next year. The Fed may cut interest rates to resume stimulating the economy. After inflation is controlled, it is unlikely to cause long-term pain to the economy.


Rob Subbaraman, chief economist at Nomura Holdings, said in the fourth quarter of this year the US economy is likely to experience a shallow recession. In July, it is expected to rise 0.75%, August 0.5% and 0.25% several times until the interest rate rises to 3.75% in February next year.

Lisa Chalett, chief investment officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said that if the US economy is really recession this time, there is good news: the recession will be shallow. And it's less damaging to companies' earnings than any other recession. A recession caused by high inflation is less severe than a recession caused by excessive lending.

Chalet pointed out that Excluding the 2020 recession caused by COVID-19. Another recent regression caused by excessive lending These include the Great US Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 and the dot-com bubble of 2000-2001, all caused by over-indebtedness in the real estate and internet sectors. It takes almost 10 years for the economy to absorb all the damage and begin to recover.


But this regression will look the opposite. That is to say, this is due to excessive liquidity in the system. It's not because of having too much debt. Because the record-breaking economic stimulus measures are mainly caused by COVID-19. that uses both monetary and fiscal measures to inject liquidity into households and markets causing inflation to rise and lead to financial asset speculation
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